LONDON (IT BOLTWISE) – The crypto market is facing a possible turning point. While some traders continue to bet on the traditional four-year cycle, analysts are pointing to a possible departure from this pattern. Institutional investments and new market conditions could permanently change the current course.
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The crypto market is currently experiencing a period of uncertainty characterized by the debate surrounding the traditional four-year cycle of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Historically, Bitcoin followed a cycle characterized by miner rewards halving every four years. These events often resulted in a price rise followed by a fall. But current market dynamics could break this cycle.
Some market observers believe that the influence of institutional investments and the increasing integration of cryptocurrencies into traditional financial systems could change the classic cycle. Analysts like Messari’s Matthew Nay argue that market participants who continue to bet on the four-year cycle may be underestimating current market conditions. These traders may have contributed to some of the recent price decline by expecting prices to fall.
Recent market developments, including the announcement of new tariffs by the US government, have resulted in significant liquidations, further increasing the pressure on cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP recorded significant losses last week, adding to the uncertainty in the market. Experts like Stocktwits’ Jonathan Morgan emphasize that mechanical sales strategies based on the four-year cycle may no longer be relevant.
The future of cryptocurrencies could be shaped by new factors such as the introduction of ETFs, the increasing importance of altcoins and less dependence on miner rewards. These developments could further weaken the impact of the four-year cycle. Analysts agree that the crypto market has matured and could break away from the patterns of the past. The coming months will show whether the market can actually emancipate itself from traditional cycles.
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