MEXICO CITY.—The National Weather Serviceof the National Water Commissionissued the notice of its weather forecastfrom 06:00 a.m. on Tuesday, October 21, 2025.
Indicating that, on this day, a low pressure channel extended over the southeast of the Mexican Republic, a trough in height on the Yucatan Peninsula and the cloud detachments of the monsoon trough towards the coasts of the Mexican South Pacific, will cause showers and heavy rain to very strong in the mentioned regions.
Consult our #VideoForecast the weather conditions forecast for today #Mexico. Take your precautions and have a great day! pic.twitter.com/6EwsOUzRFw
— CONAGUA Climate (@conagua_clima) October 21, 2025
For his part, the “Mérida” Regional Hydrometeorological Centerof the Yucatan Peninsula Basin Organizationannounced his weather forecastvalid from 06:00 a.m. on Tuesday the 21st until 06:00 a.m. on Wednesday, October 22, 2025.
Reporting that the entry of tropical maritime air and a trough in the Yucatan Peninsula will generate probability of showers with heavy occasional rains in the east of Yucatán, south and center of Campeche, north and south of Quintana Roo.
hot environment in the afternoon and warm at night. Wind from the east-northeast of 15 to 20 km/h and gusts greater than 40 km/h in coastal areas. On the other hand, one new tropical wave It extends over Nicaragua and Honduras.
While, in the next 24 hours, in Yucatan Clear to partly cloudy skies are expected with the probability of showers and heavy occasional rains in the east of the state.
Weather in Merida
The temperature forecast for the city of Merida It is in the range of 33 to 35°C as the maximum and 21 to 23°C as the minimum. For the interior of the state, the maximum will be 34 to 36°C in the south, minimum 20 to 22°C in the south.
Temperature in Merida
At 8:00 a.m. this Tuesday in Merida, The temperature was 27° Celsius, with humidity of 82% and winds of 5 km/h.
Weather in Yucatan
The state coordination of Yucatan Civil Protection (Procivy), reported that, for this Tuesday, October 21, due to the entry of tropical maritime air from the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico; as well as the establishment of a trough, it is expected moderate rain accompanied by gusts of wind and electrical activity in municipalities of the northeast and southeast, as well as light to moderate dispersed in municipalities of the center, southwest and northwest of Yucatán.
He environment will be hotwith a maximum temperature of 34° to 37°C in the interior of the state and 29° to 31°C on the Yucatecan coast.
Tropical wave. Does the possible formation of “Melissa” in the Caribbean represent a danger for Yucatán?
Procivy in follow-up to the training of “Melissa” He also announced that, it is expected that within the next 18 hours, a Depression or Tropical Storm. However, it was pointed out that does not represent a risk for Yucatán, but it remains under constant surveillance.
The bad weather area has a closed circulation, so it is now a Low Pressure; It is located over the Caribbean Sea, that is, 1,973 km away from the state of Yucatán and its potential for cyclonic development is 100% in the following 2 and 7 days. (1/2) pic.twitter.com/WZFrbVBUpR
— Yucatan Civil Protection (@procivy) October 21, 2025
For its part, on the morning of this Tuesday, October 21, 2025, Juan Antonio Palma Solís agreed with Procivy by indicating that the formation of “Melissa” could lead to a Depression or Tropical Storm in the Caribbean, so this system will continue to be monitored.
In his social network account “X”, formerly Twitter, Juan Antonio Palma Solísmeteorologist at the meteorological agency Meteored Méxicoannounced that this Tuesday, a onda tropical will be walking south of the Yucatan peninsula and together with the “Vaguada Maya” will cause an afternoon of scattered storms, mainly in Quintana Roo, east and southern Yucatan, just like in southern Campeche.
The meteorologist also highlighted that due to the arrival of a onda tropical The rains are going to continue. He also pointed out that this phenomenon will extend and increase the potential for rain in the Yucatan Peninsula.
Palma Solis mentioned that for Mérida “some rain” is expected around three in the afternoon.
CDMX Climate
The National Meteorological Service (SMN), in its general forecast, foresees for the Valley of Mexico: In the morning, a cool to temperate environment is forecast in the region, and cold with fog banks in high areas of the Valley of Mexico. During the afternoon, a warm atmosphere, partially cloudy skies, no rain in Mexico City and increased cloudiness with the probability of intervals of showers in areas of the State of Mexico, which could be accompanied by electric shocks. The minimum temperature in Mexico City will be 13 to 15 °C and the maximum 24 to 26 °C. For Toluca, Edo. Mex., a minimum temperature of 8 to 10 °C and a maximum of 20 to 22 °C is expected. Northeast wind from 10 to 25 km/h with gusts of up to 40 km/h.
How will the weather be?
The SMN, in its forecast by region, anticipates for the Gulf of Mexico: Cloudy sky during the day. In the morning, mild to warm atmosphere. Probability of isolated morning rains in Tabasco and southern Veracruz. During the afternoon, warm to hot atmosphere; probability of intense rains in Veracruz (Las Montañas, Papaloapan and Los Tuxtlas regions), as well as very heavy rains in Veracruz (Capital and Olmeca regions) and Tabasco (east and south), all rains with electric shocks; The aforementioned rains could be accompanied by strong gusts of wind and cause an increase in the levels of rivers and streams, landslides, flooding, flooding and reduced visibility.; In addition, showers are expected in Veracruz (Totonaca, Nautla and Sotavento regions) and isolated rains in Tamaulipas. North component wind of 10 to 25 km/h in the region, with gusts of 35 to 50 km/h on the coasts of Tamaulipas, and gusts of less than 35 km/h in areas of Veracruz and Tabasco.
While, for the Yucatan Peninsula forecast: During the day, partly cloudy to cloudy skies. In the morning, warm atmosphere. During the afternoon warm to hot atmosphere; heavy occasional rains with electric shocks in Campeche (west and south), Yucatán (east and south) and Quintana Roo (center and south), The aforementioned rains could be accompanied by strong gusts of wind and cause local flooding, flooding and reduced visibility.. North component wind of 10 to 25 km/h in the region, with gusts of 35 to 50 km/h in areas of the peninsula.
Related
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