Heavy rains are expected in the Yucatán Peninsula; Melissa is already a category 5 hurricane

MEXICO CITY.—The National Weather Serviceof the National Water Commissionissued the notice of its weather forecastfrom 06:00 a.m. on Monday, October 27, 2025.

This day, low pressure channels about the interior of the country and the Yucatan Peninsulain combination with the moisture ingress of the Pacific Ocean, Gulf of Mexico y Caribbean Seae atmospheric instability, They will cause scattered rains and showers in states of the west, center, northeast, east, south and southeast of Mexico, including the Yucatan Peninsula, in addition to heavy occasional rains in Chiapas, Tabasco, Campeche and Quintana Roo; as well as waves of 1.5 to 2.5 meters high in the Gulf of Tehuantepec and the coasts of Quintana Roo.

Finally, a anticyclonic circulation At medium levels of the atmosphere over the Mesa del Norte, it will maintain a low probability of rain in the aforementioned region and the Mesa Central, as well as an increase in evening temperatures over entities in those regions, as well as the northeast and east of Mexico.

In our #VideoForecast We inform you of the weather conditions that are expected for this day in #Mexico. Good morning! pic.twitter.com/4oZmGbef5D

— CONAGUA Clima (@conagua_clima) October 27, 2025

The “Mérida” Regional Hydrometeorological Center, of the Yucatán Peninsula Basin Organization, released its meteorological forecast, valid from 06:00 a.m. on Monday 27th until 06:00 a.m. on Tuesday, October 28, 2025.

The document indicates that, during the course of this Monday, intervals of showers are expected, at least in isolation, in several areas of the Yucatan Peninsula.

In the next 24 hours, clear to partially cloudy skies are expected, with the probability of intervals of showers in Yucatán, Campeche and Quintana Roo due to the entry of humidity from the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean Sea, combined with the formation of a trough over the Yucatán Peninsula. Hot to very hot environment during the
day and warm at night. Winds from the north, north-northeast and north-northwest of 15 to 25 km/h, with gusts greater than 40 km/h.

Weather in Merida

The temperature forecast for the city of Mérida is in the range of 33 to 35 °C as a maximum and 23 to 25 °C as a minimum. For the interior of the state, the maximum will be 34 to 36 °C in the south, minimum 21 to 23 °C in the south.

Current temperature of Merida

At 9:00 in the morning this Monday, the temperature in Mérida was 31 °Celsius, with humidity of 66% and wind of 11 km/h.

Weather in Yucatan

Clear to partially cloudy skies, with the probability of intervals of showers in the northeast, east and south of the state, as well as isolated rains in the north-center and northwest of the state. Hot to very hot environment during the day and warm at night. Winds from the north of 15 to 25 km/h, with gusts greater than 40 km/h.

Weather in Campeche

Clear to partly cloudy skies, with a chance of intervals of showers in the north, center and south of the state. Hot to very hot environment during the day and warm at night. Winds from the north and northwest-northwest of 15 to 25 km/h, with gusts greater than 40 km/h.

Weather in Quintana Roo

Clear to partly cloudy skies, with a chance of intervals of showers in the north, center and south of the state. Hot to very hot environment during the day and warm at night. Winds from the north and north-northeast of 15 to 25 km/h, with gusts greater than 40 km/h.

Cold front monitoring

The state coordination of Yucatan Civil Protection (Procivy), tracks the progress of a cold front to the region.

Procivy reported that the forecast for the entry of a cold front remains in effect during the night of Wednesday the 29th and the early hours of Thursday, October 30, which will cause a moderate “northern” event, an increase in the waves, moderate rain in its path and the subsequent decrease in temperatures.

Hurricane Melissa Watch

Procivy also reported that the Hurricane Melissaof category 5does not represent a risk for Yucatán.

It is located 1,147 km southeast of the state of Yucatán; It is moving west at 7 km/h with winds of 260 km/h and gusts of 315 km/h.

“Melissa” is expected to turn slowly toward the northwest and north over the next 24 hours.

“Melissa” will make landfall on the south coast of Jamaica on Tuesday morning and emerge on the north coast on Tuesday afternoon.

In his social network account “X”, formerly Tiwtter, Juan Antonio Palma Solísmeteorologist at the meteorology agency Meteored México, described Hurricane Melissa, category 5, as “Tremendous cyclonic monster in the Caribbean.”

Palma Solís adds that the hurricane hunter plane’s flight update sent data on maximum wind gusts of up to 310 km/h and a minimum central pressure of 910 hpa.

He adds that the entry of tropical maritime air from the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean Sea, and the formation of a trough, which he calls the “Mayan trough,” will give rise to some scattered rains and thunderstorms, which would be of light to moderate intensity.

In his forecast, the meteorologist explains that, for this Monday, October 27, due to the entry of maritime air from the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico, isolated light rain is expected before noon in municipalities in the northeast, center and northwest of Yucatán, as well as scattered moderate rain after 1:00 p.m. in municipalities in the southeast and southwest.

The maximum temperature will range between 32° and 36°C in the interior of the state and from 28° to 30°C in the coastal area.

CDMX Climate

The National Meteorological Service (SMN), in its general forecast, foresees for the Valley of Mexico: During the morning, clear skies, cool atmosphere in the region and cold in high areas of the Valley of Mexico. During the afternoon, warm atmosphere, partially cloudy sky with probability of isolated rains and possible electric shocks in the southwest of the State of Mexico and no rain in Mexico City. The minimum temperature in Mexico City will be 10 to 12 °C and the maximum 26 to 28 °C. For Toluca, Edo. Mex., a minimum temperature of 5 to 7 °C and a maximum of 23 to 25 °C is expected. North and northeast wind from 5 to 20 km/h with gusts of up to 40 km/h.

How will the weather be?

The SMN, in its forecast by region, anticipates for the Gulf of Mexico: Partly cloudy sky during the day, with occasional heavy rains in Tabasco (east); accompanied by electric shocks and gusts of wind; which could reduce visibility on road sections, cause flooding, landslides and flooding, and increase the levels of rivers and streams.. Showers and electric shocks in Veracruz (Olmeca region), and isolated rains in Tamaulipas (Mante and Central regions) and Veracruz (Nautla, Capital, Sotavento, Las Montañas, Papaloapan and Los Tuxtlas regions). In the morning, cool to temperate atmosphere, and cold in the mountains of Veracruz. During the afternoon, warm to hot atmosphere in the region. Wind from the east and southeast of 10 to 20 km/h with gusts of 35 to 50 km/h in Tamaulipas, and with gusts of up to 40 km/h in Veracruz and Tabasco.

While, for the Yucatan Peninsula forecast: Partly cloudy to cloudy skies during the day, with occasional heavy rains in Campeche (southwest) and Quintana Roo; same that could reduce visibility on road sections, cause puddles and flooding. Showers in Yucatan. All rains with electric shocks. In the morning, warm atmosphere and during the afternoon, warm to hot atmosphere. Wind from the north and northeast at 10 to 20 km/h with gusts of up to 40 km/h in the region. Waves of 1.5 to 2.5 meters high on the coast of Quintana Roo.

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