This active pattern isn’t a one-and-done deal. We’re expecting more opportunities for strong to severe thunderstorms on both Sunday and Monday. In fact, the Storm Prediction Center has placed our entire area under a Slight Risk (a 2 out of 5) for severe weather on both days.
The exact timing is still a little fuzzy, and a key factor will be any leftover boundaries from Saturday’s storms. Storms love to develop along these mini-fronts, so where they set up will influence who sees the strongest storms. As of right now, the thinking is that on Sunday, storms are expected to arrive 9 a.m. in our western counties, noon in the Augusta area, and progress eastward going into the afternoon. There could be a second round of storms Sunday evening, but cloud cover and previous rain could limit that potential. Then on Monday, another wave of energy arrives in the afternoon and evening.
After we get through Monday, the overall weather pattern will begin to change. We may have one more day with a decent chance for organized storms on Tuesday, but after that, high pressure begins to build over the Southeast.
This means we’ll trade the organized severe weather threat for our more familiar summer pattern. The heat and humidity will return as temperatures climb, making it feel much more like a typical June week. Instead of organized lines, we’ll see scattered afternoon thunderstorms. These are the kind that pop up with the heating of the day, dump some heavy rain and lightning, and then fizzle out. While they can still produce a strong wind gust, they are generally less widespread and less organized than what we expect this weekend.
