bitcoin news: Bitcoin Price Forecast: BTC holds above $110K as bulls defend support. Will it recover or continue to fall? Here’s crucial traders and analysts insights

Bitcoin price forecast shows BTC holding above $110K as bulls defend key support levels. Market data indicates renewed accumulation from mid-sized wallets and institutional buyers. Technical and on-chain signals suggest that Bitcoin may prepare for a gradual recovery, making the current consolidation phase important for traders and investors.

Bitcoin Price Forecast – BTC Holds Key Support Near $110K

Bitcoin price forecast indicates BTC traded near $111,000 on Thursday, briefly dipping to $109,600. This level has become critical support for bulls. Analysts note that Bitcoin formed a triple-bottom structure, signaling a potential reversal. Data from Bitstamp and Binance show strong bids between $109,600 and $110,000, reflecting buyer conviction at the psychological $110K mark. Mid-sized wallets have resumed accumulation after the early-October correction that reduced Bitcoin’s market value by about nine percent.

Bitcoin Price Forecast – Institutional Buyers Return as BTC Consolidates

According to Cointelegraph Markets Pro, institutional investors are re-entering Bitcoin during this consolidation. Analyst Skew noted that BTC tapping established demand areas signals re-entry opportunities. Rekt Capital highlighted that the CME futures gap between $109,680 and $111,310 has been filled, which often precedes new momentum. Momentum indicators such as RSI on the daily chart show bullish divergence at 48, indicating weakening selling pressure. The Crypto Fear and Greed Index shows market sentiment stabilizing after a six-month low.

Bitcoin Price Forecast – On-Chain Data Shows Mid-Sized Wallet Accumulation

On-chain data from Glassnode shows addresses holding 1 to 1,000 BTC are accumulating. Large whales have slowed selling, suggesting reduced downward pressure. Analyst Ted Pillows compared the current market to March 2020, noting that fear peaks usually mark local bottoms. Retail sentiment is recovering while institutional positioning remains positive. The CME FedWatch Tool shows a 96.7% probability of a 25-basis point rate cut, potentially increasing liquidity and benefiting Bitcoin.

Bitcoin Price Forecast – Corporate Bitcoin Adoption Strengthens Fundamentals

The Bitwise Q3 2025 report shows public companies hold 1.02 million BTC, a $117 billion value, up 28% quarterly. The number of corporate holders increased by 38.7%, with 48 new companies adding BTC. Major holders include Strategy (640,031 BTC), MARA (52,850 BTC), XXI (43,514 BTC), Metaplanet (30,823 BTC), and Bitcoin Standard Treasury (30,021 BTC). Strategy purchased 40,000 BTC in Q3, highlighting institutional conviction despite volatility.

Bitcoin Price Forecast – Technical Landscape: Support and Resistance Levels

Bitcoin’s support at $109,600–$110,000 aligns with the 200-day moving average. A break below could target $107,300 and $105,000. Resistance lies at $112,700–$113,000. A confirmed breakout above this range may drive BTC toward $114,600 and $117,600. Closing above $116,200 could accelerate momentum to $120,000. Open interest across futures exchanges has declined, showing lower leverage and reduced liquidation risks.

Bitcoin Price Forecast – Market Psychology and On-Chain Signals

The $5,000 correction purged excessive leverage and speculation. Trading volumes have fallen over 20% week-over-week. Spot ETF inflows and exchange outflows indicate accumulation. Whale activity has cooled, and mid-tier wallets continue growing, reflecting strategic accumulation. Weak hands have exited, while long-term investors increase exposure, preparing for the next directional move.

Bitcoin Price Forecast – Capital Rotation and Regulatory Landscape

Liquidity is rotating to projects like Bitcoin Hyper (HYPER), which raised $23.8 million in its presale. Global regulation remains uncertain. The G20’s Financial Stability Board warned of gaps in cross-border crypto rules. New compliance frameworks may slow short-term flows but enhance Bitcoin’s long-term legitimacy as a macro asset.

Bitcoin Price Forecast – Outlook: Consolidation Phase Suggests Gradual Recovery

Bitcoin’s triple-bottom structure, improving RSI, and institutional demand suggest an accumulation phase. Holding above $109,000 and reclaiming $114,600–$116,200 could lead BTC toward $120,000 or $125,000 in Q4 2025. A drop below $109,000 may test $105,000, but buying pressure remains strong. Market psychology and macro expectations support a moderate bullish bias.

Bitcoin Price Forecast – Verdict: Buy Bias if $109K Holds and $116K Breaks

Bitcoin’s correction has likely exhausted downside momentum. Technical indicators, on-chain data, and macro catalysts support a Buy Bias. Sustaining $109K support and breaking $116K resistance may mark the next upward phase for BTC, driven by institutional inflows and monetary policy shifts.

FAQs

What is the Bitcoin price forecast for the fourth quarter of 2025?

Bitcoin is likely to consolidate above $109K, with potential upward moves toward $120K–$125K if support holds and $116K resistance breaks.

How are institutional investors affecting Bitcoin price forecast?

Institutional accumulation and corporate adoption strengthen BTC support, increasing demand and aligning with macro liquidity expectations for a potential recovery.