Rockstar’s GTA 6 will break every record in the book for video game launches, according to new predictions from a financial firm.
The launch of GTA 6 looks set to be the biggest gaming event of 2026, but it’s much more than that. It’ll almost certainly be the biggest entertainment launch in history, never mind just video games.
GTA 5 has sold over 215 million copies since it released in 2013, making it the most successful traditional video game of all time, only behind the likes of Minecraft.
While GTA 6 is obviously going to be massive, one gaming investment firm predicts that the pent up demand will see the game earning more in three months than most publishers make in a year.
The prediction comes from Konvoy’s Josh Chapman, a managing partner at the firm which invests ‘in the platforms and technologies at the frontier of gaming’. In a LinkedIn post, Chapman claims GTA 6 will generate $7.6 billion (£5.7 billion) in revenue within its first 60 days of launch.
‘This will be the greatest video game release of all time; shattering player, viewership, and revenue records,’ he wrote.
Along with sales for the game, this figure includes GTA+ subscriptions and in-app purchases. According to the firm, the latter alone will bring $680 million in revenue within 60 days.
Expert, exclusive gaming analysis
Sign up to the GameCentral newsletter for a unique take on the week in gaming, alongside the latest reviews and more. Delivered to your inbox every Saturday morning.
Chapman goes onto claim publisher Take-Two will break even on its $2 billion (£1.5 billion) investment into GTA 6 within 30 days of release.
The firm predicts GTA 6 will sell 85 million copies within 60 days. For context, GTA 5 surpassed this milestone in November 2017, over four years after it launched in September 2013. But then it had only been five years since GTA 4, while fans have been waiting 13 years for GTA 6.
How much the game makes will also be affected by how much Rockstar charge for it, with many rumours that they want to charge $100/£100 for even the standard version. However, Konvoy predicts the standard version will cost $80 (likely £80), which will launch alongside more expensive premium editions.
GTA 5 earned Rockstar $1 billion in sales revenue within just three days in 2013, so these predictions are not at all unreasonable. That doesn’t mean Konvoy’s predictions are correct but the idea that GTA 6 will be the biggest entertainment launch of all time seems guaranteed.
Elsewhere, Rockstar is continuing to gear for up GTA 6’s May launch. The studio has been hiring for various marketing roles and this week seems to have pulled the plug on the Rockstar Games Social Club.
As highlighted by Rockstar Games insider Videotechuk, the website, which served as a hub where players could track in-game progress and access exclusive content, now redirects to the main Rockstar homepage.
‘Rockstar Games Social Club has come to an end today after 13 years, the main URL socialclub.rockstargames.com now redirects to the homepage,’ they wrote on X. ‘Currently viewing profiles, walls, photos, video viewing from users are gone, but could be part of new plans to introduce a new platform.’
‘Social Club was incredibly outdated with more cases of crews being hijacked, accounts being targeted easily,’ they added. ‘They’re most likely finally working on a new platform ready for GTA 6.’
What Rockstar will replace it with is unclear but it’s another positive sign that the game is not expected to see any further delays.
Email gamecentral@metro.co.uk, leave a comment below, follow us on Twitter.
To submit Inbox letters and Reader’s Features more easily, without the need to send an email, just use our Submit Stuff page here.
For more stories like this, check our Gaming page.
