The Administration Trump there would already be identified the first targets on Venezuelan soil para more than probable attack in the coming days, according to sources consulted by the Wall Street Journal. It would be about military facilities where drugs are prepared for subsequent distribution abroad, especially ports and airports that are key for the trafficking of fentanyl, Colombian cocaine and other substances that end up arriving in the United States.
The official objective would not be to overthrow Nicolás Maduro as such, but to suffocate his regime, which has been qualified by the Secretary of State, Marco Rubioas a “narco-state” at the service of the cartels, especially the Cartel del Sol, whose leader would be Maduro himself.
Trump’s fight against the Chavista leader, which in this second term seems to have extended to the Colombian Gustavo Petro, It comes from afar, but it is escalating at great speed in recent months. After put a price on your head -fifty million dollars to anyone who gives information that leads to his capture-, the The White House has ordered the constant bombing of “drug boats” that cross the Caribbean Sea.
The deaths in these attacks are now in the dozens, without there being clear evidence that they are indeed drug traffickers. If Trump is using el fentanyl as an excuse -it has already had conflicts with Canada and Mexico about it- or if it really believes that this will improve the health of its citizens, it remains to be seen. What seems clear is that this is an ideal justification to end a regime that is hostile to it and that is too close to Russia, China and Iran.
The transition from maritime attacks to land attacks would be very relevant and The idea in Washington is that this will force Maduro to flee the country out of fear. to become a target himself. In that way, ground intervention would be avoided with troops, which could lead to a massacre.
The combination of air attacks on military centers with some type of internal operation sponsored by the CIA – Trump authorized the spy agency to carry out “covert maneuvers” on Venezuelan soil – could end Chavismo’s resistance after twenty-six years in power.
The letter to Putin
It is true that we have heard all this before and in the end it has ended in nothing. I alsoIt is true that Maduro has never taken it as seriously as he has until now. Requests for help from his allies are constant.
Yes, a few weeks ago, I sent a letter to the Russian ambassador to the UN and current president of the Security Council, Vasili Nebenzia, to call an emergency meeting in the face of an “imminent attack,” the Washington Post reported this Friday sending a similar letter addressed to Vladimir Putin.
Maduro would have requested help to improve his already outdated weapons, and He would have requested defense radars, spare parts for aircraft and anti-aircraft missiles. In other words, everything you need to protect yourself from an air attack.
At the moment, Russia is keeping a curious silence regarding the situation in Venezuela, taking into account that it is one of its main military and diplomatic allies. The vast majority of Venezuelan weapons have been purchased from Russia and both countries increased their trade by 64% last year.
Venezuela is one of the few that constantly ignores the sanctions imposed by international organizations and a change of regime would be fatal for the Kremlin, as it was at the time. fall of Al Assad in Syria.
In fact, If Maduro had to flee the country, few doubt that he would do so directly to Moscow. Proof of the good relationship between both governments is the arrival last Sunday of an Ilyushin Il-76 aircraft, normally used in transport functions, although its design, in times of the Soviet Union, was military.
On May 9, the Venezuelan president was one of the few heads of state who attended the commemorative parade of the 80th anniversary of the end of World War II. There, he was able to chat with Xi Jinping, another of the attendees, and signed a collaboration agreement with Putin. “Our two countries are more united than ever,” the Chavista leader stated then.
In search of Iranian drones
From Miraflores they would also have searched for collaboration from China, although it is already known that Beijing tends not to get into too much external trouble and the last summit between Xi and Trump seemed to take place with a certain cordiality after months of trade tension. Xi’s interests in Venezuela are mainly economic.
In exchange for diplomatic support, Maduro has granted Chinese companies the construction and exploitation of two oil platforms, the first of which is already in operation in Lake Maracaibo.
China has spent $1 billion on the operation, so it is logical that it does not welcome a regime change that could put its investments at risk. It would be normal for the Venezuelan opposition to offer Moscow and Beijing certain economic guarantees to at least mitigate the response of both powers in the event of a US military intervention.
Just in case, Maduro has also knocked on Iran’s door. The country of the ayatollahs, concerned with the reconstruction of the facilities where work was being done on a very advanced nuclear program before the joint attack by Israel and the United States, is one of the great world powers in the manufacture of drones. Their Shahed They have been flying over Ukraine for four years and have been imitated by armies around the world. Venezuela’s access to these drones could stop or postpone the US operation. What is not clear is whether Tehran has the power to protect itself, Russia and now also Chavismo.
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