Melissa would become a major hurricane in the Caribbean; Heat and showers for the Yucatan Peninsula

MEXICO CITY.—The National Weather Serviceof the National Water Commissionissued the notice of its weather forecastfrom 06:00 a.m. on Thursday, October 23, 2025.

This day, a low pressure channel over the east and southeast of the country, atmospheric instability and the tropical wave number 39 to the south of Chiapas, they will cause showers and heavy rains in these regions.

In turn, another low pressure channel and the entry of humidity from the Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico will generate occasional heavy showers and rains in the Yucatan Peninsula.

We share the weather status for the next few hours. pic.twitter.com/M3PvXubLOK

— Yucatan Civil Protection (@procivy) October 23, 2025

He “Mérida” Regional Hydrometeorological Centerof the National Meteorological Service, released its report on the weather forecast, valid from 6:00 a.m. on Thursday, October 23, to 6:00 a.m. on Friday, October 24, 2025.

In the next 24 hours, in Partially cloudy skies are expected in Yucatan con showers in the center, east and south of the state. hot environment in the day and warm to warm at dawn.

A trough that will extend over the Yucatan Peninsulainteracting with the entry of humidity, will cause showers in the east, center and south of Yucatán, center and south of Campeche, as well as in the center and south of Quintana Roo. He environment will be hot to very hot in the day and warm at dawn. Winds from the east-northeast with gusts of 40 km/h on the coast.

Weather in Merida

The temperature forecast for the city of Mérida is in the range of 32 to 34 °C as a maximum and 20 to 22 °C as a minimum. For the interior of the state, the maximum will be 33 to 35 °C in the East and south, minimum 19 to 21 °C in the south.

Current temperature of Merida

At 7:00 on Thursday morning, the temperature in Mérida was 27 °Celsisus, with humidity of 86% and wind of 8 km/h.

Tropical Storm Melissa in the Caribbean Sea

He National Hurricane Center (NHC) released its report on the Tormenta Tropical Melissa in it Caribbean Sea.

The report indicates that, at 8:00 am EDT (06:00 am Central Mexico Time), the center of Tropical Storm Melissa was located by Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft near latitude 15.5 North, longitude 74.9 West.

Melissa is moving toward the northwest near 7 km/h. A slow northwesterly or northerly motion is forecast over the next two days, followed by a westward turn over the weekend.

On the forecast track, Melissa is expected to move closer to Jamaica and the southwestern portion of Haiti over the next two days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 85 km/h with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected over the next day or so, but significant strengthening is expected late Friday and into the weekend. HE
Melissa is forecast to become a hurricane in a couple of days.

Tropical storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 km from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).

Tropical Storm Melissa Watch

The state coordination of Yucatan Civil Protection (Procivy), keeps under surveillance the development of tropical storm Melissa, which, so far, does not represent a risk for Yucatán.

Melissa is located 1,495 km southeast of the state of Yucatán; It is moving west-northwest at 6 km/h, with winds of 85 km/h and gusts of 105 km/h.

“Melissa” will continue to move slowly west-northwest, meandering over the Caribbean Sea in the coming days.

It will intensify into a major hurricane early next week.

Due to its location, it is kept under constant surveillance.

On the other hand, Procivy reported that, due to the entry of tropical maritime air from the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico; As well as due to the establishment of a trough, light and moderate rain is expected accompanied by gusts of wind and electrical activity in the northeast, northwest and southwest of Yucatán, as well as lower intensity in municipalities in the southeast and center.

The environment will be hot, with a maximum temperature of 34° to 36°C in the interior of the state and 30° to 32°C on the coast.

In his social network account “X”, formerly Twitter, Juan Antonio Palma Solísmeteorologist at the meteorology agency Meteored México, reported that a Thursday is expected with scattered showers and a hot atmosphere.

Palma Solís added that, for this Thursday, a sunny to partly cloudy environment is expected, hot during the day and a probability of scattered showers in the afternoon due to a trough, which he calls “Mayan Vaguada.”

CDMX Climate

The National Meteorological Service (SMN), in its general forecast, foresees for the Valley of Mexico: In the morning, partly cloudy skies, cool to temperate atmosphere in the region, and cold with fog banks in high areas of the Valley of Mexico. During the afternoon, warm atmosphere, partly cloudy sky with rain and intervals of showers in the State of Mexico (southwest) and without rain in Mexico City. The minimum temperature in Mexico City will be 11 to 13 °C and the maximum 24 to 26 °C. For Toluca, Edo. Mex., a minimum temperature of 5 to 7 °C and a maximum of 22 to 24 °C is expected. East component wind from 10 to 25 km/h with gusts of up to 45 km/h.

How will the weather be?

The SMN, in its forecast by region, anticipates for the Gulf of Mexico: Partly cloudy to cloudy skies during the day, with occasional heavy rains, electric shocks and possible hail in Veracruz (Olmeca region) and Tabasco (west and south); These rains could cause flooding, flooding and landslides, as well as an increase in the levels of rivers and streams.. Showers with electric shocks are expected in Tamaulipas (Mante and Sur regions) and Veracruz (Huasteca Alta, Huasteca Baja, Totonaca and Nautla regions). In the morning, cool atmosphere in high areas of Veracruz, and temperate in the rest of the region. During the afternoon, warm to hot atmosphere. East component wind of 20 to 35 km/h with gusts of 45 to 60 km/h in Tamaulipas and gusts of up to 40 km/h in Veracruz and Tabasco.

While, for the Yucatan Peninsula forecast: In the morning, partly cloudy skies and mild weather; in the afternoon, warm to hot atmosphere, partly cloudy to cloudy sky with occasional heavy rains and electric shocks in Quintana Roo (south); These rains could cause waterlogging and flooding.. Showers are expected in Campeche (southwest) and Yucatán (south). Northeast wind from 10 to 20 km/h with gusts of 35 to 50 km/h in Campeche, Yucatán and Quintana Roo.

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