MOSCOW / LONDON (IT BOLTWISE) – Russia has massively strengthened the ruble in foreign trade and largely displaced the dollar. This development could permanently change the geopolitical economic order. The share of the ruble in Russian foreign trade reached a historic high of 55.2 percent in August 2025. This shift reflects Russia’s increasing economic decoupling from the West and China’s growing importance as a trading partner.
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Russia’s recent economic developments mark a significant shift in the global trade landscape. The ruble has established itself as the dominant currency in Russian foreign trade, which could have a lasting impact on the geopolitical economic order. In August 2025, 55.2 percent of Russia’s foreign trade was carried out in rubles, a record high that underlines the economic decoupling from the West.
This development is the result of a strategic de-dollarization that began in 2014 with the annexation of Crimea. Russia has since reduced the proportion of US government bonds in its foreign reserves and established alternative payment systems to protect itself against Western sanctions. Contrary to Western forecasts, the ruble has established itself as a politically relevant currency.
China plays a central role in this new trading order. The share of Russian foreign trade with China has increased from 10 percent in 2014 to 40 percent of imports and 30 percent of exports. The yuan has emerged as the central surrogate currency, providing Moscow with security from Western sanctions and giving Beijing more influence in the global financial system.
Western sanctions policy has reached its limits. While export bans and financial freezes are weighing on the Russian economy, they have also created a countermeasure: Russia’s accelerated economic independence. Secondary sanctions against Chinese and Indian companies could prove to be a boomerang by bringing non-Western countries closer together.
However, the Russian economy remains highly dependent on imports for technology and mechanical engineering. The stability of the ruble is also based on strict capital controls and a politically controlled monetary policy. At the same time, dependence on China is growing, which is increasingly influencing Moscow’s foreign trade.
Russia’s economic realignment marks a tectonic break in the global economic order. By turning away from the West, Moscow is establishing a new trade logic in which power is replaced by markets and monetary policy becomes a geopolitical instrument. For the West, this is more than a warning; it is an indication that the postwar economic order is beginning to crumble.
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