South Africa could lose up to 100 000 jobs if urgent action is not taken to counter looming US tariffs set to take effect next month, Reserve Bank Governor Lesetja Kganyago has warned.
The anticipated job losses would primarily hit the automotive and agricultural sectors, both critical pillars of the country’s economy.
The warning comes amid growing concern over the US government’s decision to impose 30% tariffs on South African imports, a move that could seriously undermine trade relations and damage the country’s fragile economic recovery.
“By some measures, if we do not find alternative measures, the impact on jobs could be around 100 000,” Kganyago said during a media briefing.
Automotive and agriculture at highest risk
The automotive industry, which supports over 100 000 direct jobs, has already experienced an 82% drop in exports to the US this year due to earlier 25% tariffs on vehicle components.
Industry insiders warn that further tariffs could push several manufacturers – particularly those dependent on the US market – into crisis.
Meanwhile, agriculture, a major employer in rural areas, faces a similar threat.
Despite posting record $13.7 billion in exports in 2024, the sector could see widespread job losses, especially among low-skilled workers with limited alternative employment options.
Government response
President Cyril Ramaphosa has indicated a willingness to negotiate a reduction in tariffs, but no agreement has been reached with US counterparts.
With the tariffs due to take effect in August 2025, time is running out for diplomacy to avert a crisis.
Economists and trade analysts have urged the government to:
- Strengthen trade partnerships beyond the US
- Accelerate domestic economic reforms to support local industries
- And implement short-term relief measures to protect jobs
Critical moment
South Africa’s vulnerability to global trade shifts is once again in sharp focus.
Without swift and effective measures, the combination of US tariffs and potential AGOA exclusion could deliver a major blow to economic growth, export revenues, and employment.
How big a crisis could these US tariffs end up being for South Africa?
Let us know by leaving a comment below, or send a WhatsApp to 060 011 021 1
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