Without alliances the PAN would lose almost everything

The National Action Party, which was once assumed to be a moral and democratic force, is going through one of its worst crises. Trapped by the pettiness, selfishness and cynicism of its own leaders, the PAN has lost votes, credibility and direction since it came to the Presidency with Vicente Fox and until the 2024 presidential elections, when its wear and tear and disconnection with society became evident.

Mexico City, October 20 (However).- There were panistas who once dreamed of being a grain of wheat in the mill of history, so that others would have flour and good bread. He PAN current, turned into a true calamity for society, is trapped by the meanness, selfishness and cynicism of those who have discredited it and led it to the abyss in the most recent ten years.

But the process of wear and tear began to deepen day by day, since the arrival of the albiazul match to the Presidency of the Republiccon Vicente Fox Quesadauntil the most recent presidential elections of 2024. The conservative, Catholic, right-wing party has systematically lost votes and relevant political positions. But this deterioration is not new, this loss of partisan identity and ideological solidity already comes from a long time ago.

Last Saturday, October 18, 2025, the National President of the PAN, Jorge Romero Herrera, announced the relaunch of the party with a vision that he described as modern, close and based on the values ​​of Homeland, Family and Freedom. And the most significant thing about the event was the change of the Albiazul party logo and the presence of the same brotherhood that has held the PAN hostage for a decade and has led it to the abyss.

“Fascist and demagogic conservatism, the manipulation of religion, the materialism of those who turn to the spirit to unjustly defend money, are within National Action, natural fruits of the abandonment of political education, which was the sincere cause of the existence of the original PAN.” Lapidary, solid, dry, like a rock that explodes in the face, the phrase was chiseled by Efraín González Morfín in a document that he presented to the National Council of the PAN on February 25, 1978, when he said goodbye to the party of his loves.

Efraín González Luna was one of the founding fathers of the PAN, and together with Manuel Gómez Morín, one of its first ideologues. In addition, he was the first PAN candidate for the Presidency of the Republic in 1952. Efraín González Morfín, son of González Luna, was the PAN candidate for the Presidency of the Republic in 1970, national leader of the albiazul in 1975 and is considered the last great ideologue of his party.

González Morfín’s text is implacable in its criticism of the direction that the PAN had taken in those years, the 1970s, when it presumed that the businessmen of the Monterrey Group intended to take over the party, using Pablo Emilio Madero as the spearhead. González Morfín criticized that his party lacked PAN, doctrinal and programmatic thinking; that the party needed PAN identity in consistent conduct, and a determined will to defend the essence of National Action against opportunist disfigurement.

As if scrutinizing the future of his party and referring to the clique that currently controls the PAN, González Morfín warned: “Unfortunately, disorientation and demagoguery prevail among the members; there is insufficient awareness or defense of the identity of National Action; interest increases as a stimulus for candidacies, and an even worse overflow of ambitions can be foreseen.”

As if González Morfín was speaking to the PAN members of today, to those who announce the relaunch of National Action, he pointed out: “The PAN urgently needs something that it does not want to do: renounce destructive activism, humbly return to the intellectual and moral sources that gave rise to National Action, return to itself to analyze its capacity to respond to the demands of Mexico.” González Morfín then left an unleavened BREAD, to which he would never return.

The same shell

The dramatic collapse of the PAN is written in the chronicles of the last five presidential elections.

When the PAN came to power, with Vicente Fox Quesada and in alliance with the Green Ecologist Party of Mexico, it added almost 16 million votes to take victory. Two decades later, he barely surpassed nine million votes at the polls during the June 2024 contest.

The other chronicle of the defeat of the albiazul is written in parallel and shows the depth of the disaster: simply, between 2018 and 2024, in the hands of the political group that controls the party, in which Ricardo Anaya Cortés, Marko Cortés Mendoza and Jorge Romero Herrera stand out, the albiazul has lost seven governorships. And it only retains four: Aguscalientes, Chihuahua, Querétaro and Guanajuato.

However, in 2027, when the country will compete for 17 governorships, National Action will put three of the four governorships it still holds at risk, with a clear risk of losing Chihuahua and Querétaro.

District poverty

There is no indication that the so-called relaunch is going to improve the critical situation of the PAN. The numbers are very illustrative of its permanent decline. Its president Romero Herrera announced that only exceptionally will he agree to ally with another party, which could be the Citizen Movement, since he has expressed very clearly that he is not excited to revive the Prianista coalition.

But it is also clear that through a free coalition, without a coalition, it will be very difficult for the PAN to obtain majority victories, retain its governorships or win any more, as it would intend in the case of Nuevo León. In 2018, the PAN only won, independently and with its own forces, three of the 300 majority electoral districts in the country; In 2021 he had a slight rebound and scored 33 victories; But in 2024 he went to the bottom of the pool again because he barely rescued three majority victories, out of the 300 possible ones for which he competed.

I just couldn’t

The only state in which the PAN has a chance of victory is Aguascalientes. Perhaps it will be his most important victory in 2027. But he will face a very complicated panorama in two key entities where he will not be able to aspire to victory if he is not in alliance with Movimiento Ciudadano: Nuevo León and Jalisco.

In Jalisco the panorama is also extremely complicated for the PAN. Of 20 federal electoral districts, he only won four in coalition with the PRI and PRD. And it does not have the government of any municipality in the metropolitan area of ​​Guadalajara.